Merrimack
W-L: ( 6-11) PR = 74.3358Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Monmouth (NJ) Colonial ( 9- 8, 79.8) 10-13 211 A Massachusetts-Lowell America Eas ( 6-10, 79.2) 5-16 214 A Lafayette Patriot ( 5-10, 79.1) 11-17 221 A Stonehill Northeast (13- 7, 78.5) 5-14 228 H Rhode Island Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 78.5) 7-13 304 H New Haven Northeast ( 5- 9, 70.1) 18- 8 310 A Radford Big South ( 4-14, 71.3) 17- 6 313 A Presbyterian Big South ( 5-12, 70.8) 16- 9 318 A New Hampshire America Eas ( 4-12, 75.9) 13-18 321 H Mount St Marys Metro Atlan (10- 7, 81.6) 9-17 325 A Siena Metro Atlan (12- 7, 81.9) 3-15 328 A Sacred Heart Metro Atlan ( 5-10, 74.8) 6-10 401 H Marist Metro Atlan ( 4-12, 77.5) 9-14 404 H Quinnipiac Metro Atlan (10- 8, 80.6) 15-14 408 A Niagara Metro Atlan ( 8- 9, 78.4) 7-17 411 H Manhattan Metro Atlan ( 3-14, 72.0) 8- 7 418 A Iona Metro Atlan ( 3-13, 72.8) 12- 6
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Monmouth (NJ) 10-13 -3 -4 1.09
211 A Massachusetts-Lowell 5-16 -11 -6 -- -4.79
214 A Lafayette 11-17 -6 -6 0.13
221 A Stonehill 5-14 -9 -6 - -3.46
228 H Rhode Island 7-13 -6 -3 - -3.25
304 H New Haven 18- 8 10 6 ++ 4.38
310 A Radford 17- 6 11 2 +++ 9.36
313 A Presbyterian 16- 9 7 2 ++ 4.81
318 A New Hampshire 13-18 -5 -3 - -2.11
321 H Mount St Marys 9-17 -8 -6 - -2.06
325 A Siena 3-15 -12 -9 - -3.08
328 A Sacred Heart 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.20
401 H Marist 9-14 -5 -2 - -3.22
404 H Quinnipiac 15-14 1 -5 ++ 5.86
408 A Niagara 7-17 -10 -5 -- -4.62
411 H Manhattan 8- 7 1 4 - -2.72
418 A Iona 12- 6 6 0 ++ 5.87
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 A Massachusetts-Lowell 5-16 -11 -6 -- -4.79 408 A Niagara 7-17 -10 -5 -- -4.62 221 A Stonehill 5-14 -9 -6 - -3.46 228 H Rhode Island 7-13 -6 -3 - -3.25 318 A New Hampshire 13-18 -5 -3 - -2.11 321 H Mount St Marys 9-17 -8 -6 - -2.06 325 A Siena 3-15 -12 -9 - -3.08 328 A Sacred Heart 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.20 401 H Marist 9-14 -5 -2 - -3.22 411 H Manhattan 8- 7 1 4 - -2.72 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 A Radford 17- 6 11 2 +++ 9.36 304 H New Haven 18- 8 10 6 ++ 4.38 313 A Presbyterian 16- 9 7 2 ++ 4.81 404 H Quinnipiac 15-14 1 -5 ++ 5.86 418 A Iona 12- 6 6 0 ++ 5.87 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Monmouth (NJ) ( 9- 8, 79.8) 10-13 -20.10 20.06 -1.37 1.02 -10.94
3 A Massachusetts- ( 6-10, 79.2) 5-16 -20.72 19.44 1.37 1.02 -9.86
3 A Lafayette ( 5-10, 79.1) 11-17 -20.80 19.36 1.37 1.02 -9.90
3 A Stonehill (13- 7, 78.5) 5-14 -21.40 18.77 1.37 1.02 -10.20
3 H Rhode Island ( 6-10, 78.5) 7-13 -21.45 18.72 -1.37 1.02 -11.62
3 H New Haven ( 5- 9, 70.1) 18- 8 -29.81 10.35 -1.37 1.02 18.31
3 A Radford ( 4-14, 71.3) 17- 6 -28.57 11.60 1.37 1.02 26.43
3 A Presbyterian ( 5-12, 70.8) 16- 9 -29.12 11.05 1.37 1.02 25.31
3 A New Hampshire ( 4-12, 75.9) 13-18 -24.04 16.13 1.37 1.02 -11.55
3 H Mount St Marys (10- 7, 81.6) 9-17 -18.26 21.91 -1.37 1.02 -10.00
3 A Siena (12- 7, 81.9) 3-15 -18.01 22.16 1.37 1.02 -8.48
3 A Sacred Heart ( 5-10, 74.8) 6-10 -25.13 15.04 1.37 1.02 -12.11
3 H Marist ( 4-12, 77.5) 9-14 -22.41 17.76 -1.37 1.02 -12.12
3 H Quinnipiac (10- 8, 80.6) 15-14 -19.34 20.83 -1.37 1.02 39.66
3 A Niagara ( 8- 9, 78.4) 7-17 -21.55 18.62 1.37 1.02 -10.28
3 H Manhattan ( 3-14, 72.0) 8- 7 -27.91 12.26 -1.37 1.02 22.19
3 A Iona ( 3-13, 72.8) 12- 6 -27.07 13.10 1.37 1.02 29.49
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44.32
|
winning pts = 161.3895 losing points = -117.0714
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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